Sequence of Return Risk Simulator

Sequence of Returns Risk Calculator

Sequence of Returns Risk Calculator

See how two retirees can earn the same average return, but end with very different results because the bad years arrive at different times.

Your Retirement Scenario

Withdrawals are increased each year by the inflation rate below.
The calculator compares bad returns at the beginning versus bad returns at the end.

Estimated Result

Enter your information and calculate your estimate.
Cost of bad returns early: $0 Ending balances will appear here.
Bad Years First $0
Bad Years Last $0
Smooth Return Scenario $0
Initial Withdrawal Rate 0%
Bad years first Bad years last Smooth average return
Scenario End Balance Year Depleted
Bad Years First $0 Never
Bad Years Last $0 Never
Smooth Average Return $0 Never

This calculator is for educational purposes only. It uses simplified return assumptions to illustrate sequence-of-returns risk. It does not use historical market data, taxes, fees, asset allocation changes, dividends, Social Security timing, pensions, annuities, cash reserves, guardrails, Roth conversions, required minimum distributions, or actual investment returns. Results are hypothetical and are not investment advice.